It’s week 13 and this is your last (or possibly second to last) chance to win your way into the playoffs, and it comes as 6 teams will be playing under the national spotlight of Thanksgiving Day football. So, the Fritos Banditos are here with some key match-ups to keep an eye on while stuffing your face with some turkey.
The first key match-up comes as the Green Bay Packers travel to Detroit for a showdown with the Lions that has shootout written all over it. Eddie Lacy owners have been riding high as he has put up consistent numbers, including three 100+ yard games, but that may come to a screeching halt this week. Thanksgiving morning Lacy will face a Detroit defense that has allowed only 107 rushing yards over the past 3 games. That’s not a typo…107 rushing yards over three games. And it is not like they have done this against a bunch of scrubs. They shut down breakout player Bobby Rainey, a resurrected Matt Forte, and rookie sensation LeVeon Bell. In fact, no RB has scored over 10 fantasy points against this defense since week 6 when Chris Ogbonnaya caught a TD pass to push him over the 10 point mark. Put Lacy in the fridge tomorrow and keep him away from your holiday line-up.
Immediately following this tough match-up we have another running back sit suggestion that may be harder to swallow than your mother-in-law’s dry turkey. The Pittsburg Steelers are traveling to Baltimore to face the Ravens stifling run defense. They have amazingly allowed only 1 rushing TD all season long. It is to the point that opposing offenses don’t even try to run the ball in the redzone. There has only been 11 total goal-to-go, red zone attempts against this defense. That is the least in the NFL. Touchdowns have saved more than one day for LeVeon, so you cannot expect him to give you much to be thankful about this holiday.
Wrapping up your Thanksgiving action is a game where you can finally find some starts when the Oakland Raiders travel to the house that Jerry built to take on the Dallas Cowboys. It’s a Thanksgiving, Fritos Banditos Report rivalry game, and this Cowboys fan will be sitting across the table from my co-host and Raider fanatic, Autumn Wind Dave. We both expect to see an entertaining game with all kinds of fantasy potential, beginning at the running back position. Rashad Jennings took over, for an injured Darren McFadden, 4 weeks ago and has been lighting it up since. He has scored over 20 fantasy points in 2 of those games, and this week he faces one of the league’s worst run defenses. The Cowboys have allowed a whopping 8 rushing TDs and 5 receiving TDs to running backs. They even see more passing targets to running backs than any other team. Jennings has taken the starting job from McFadden, and we expect he will make a statement this Thanksgiving.
On the other side of the ball we have another interesting start option as Dallas wide-out Terrance Williams will be facing an Oakland secondary that has given up the 3rd most points to wide receivers over the past 5 weeks. Now many of you may be hesitant on this one as Willliams fantasy value has revolved around his ability to get in the endzone, but this week I believe he has a ton of Touchdown potential for a few reasons. First, Oakland is much better defending the run than pass, which should lead to some 3rd and longs early, and (taking into consideration Dallas’ wacky play calling) the Cowboys putting the ball in the air a ton in the second half. Second, Dez Bryant’s 16 target game last week will lead to the Raider defense blanketing him all day. While I still expect Dez to get his, there is bound to be some wide open looks for Williams on the opposite side of the field. Last, Williams has had the luxury of already playing in 3 national games in his young career, and he has caught TDs in 2 of them. Some guys just really shine in nationally televised games, and Williams is shaping up to be one of those guys. If you are on the bubble with any of your wide receivers, start Williams in their place.
That’s a wrap for our Thanksgiving day match-up special. Tomorrow, we’ll toast to Turkey in your Belly and TDs in your line-up. Go get yourself a win!